Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Fantasy Football Predictions NFL 2011 Season Week 3

I wrote a Fantasy Football statistical regression program. I feed it weekly stats and it spits out rankings. It will compute stats more accurately as teams settle in and start to show their true colors. Also, keep in mind that it does not know when players get injured in practice and/or when players commit stupid crimes and get arrested, so you might see players on a list for the next week who are actually out of commission.


The program helped me quite a bit in Week 2 - keeping me at the number one and number two slots for my two NFL.com leagues, and boosting me up to number four in my Yahoo.com league.

FYI: I get my stats from www.kffl.com each week.

Let's see how well it does on this run...

Players in bold italics are possible sleepers.

"Predicted Points" = Predicted Fantasy Football points, NOT scoring points in a game

QB Rankings


Player
Projected Points


Fitzpatrick, Ryan
36
Rivers, Philip
33
Brady, Tom
27
Cutler, Jay
27
Newton, Cam
24
Dalton, Andy
23
McCoy, Colt
23
Stafford, Matthew
23
Romo, Tony
21
Rodgers, Aaron
20



RB Rankings

Player
Projected Points


Best, Jahvid
37
Turner, Michael
26
Jackson, Fred
26
Mathews, Ryan
25
Blount, LeGarrette
24
Rice, Ray
20
Hillis, Peyton
19
Jacobs, Brandon
18
Mendenhall, Rashard
17
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus
16



WR Rankings

Player
Projected Points


Maclin, Jeremy
34
Jackson, Vincent
31
Austin, Miles
27
Green, A.J.
27
Johnson, Steve
21
Alexander, Danario
21
Simpson, Jerome
20
Nelson, David
20
Johnson, Andre
20
Fitzgerald, Larry
16




TE Rankings

Player
Projected Points


Davis, Fred
23
Moore, Evan
20
Gonzalez, Tony
19
Walker, Delanie
12
Keller, Dustin
10
Clark, Dallas
10
Witten, Jason
10
Scheffler, Tony
9
Watson, Benjamin
7
Smith, Alex
7



K Rankings

Player
Projected Points


Bironas, Rob
22
Crosby, Mason
17
Gano, Graham
13
Carpenter, Dan
13
Dawson, Phil
11
Folk, Nick
11
Gould, Robbie
11
Mare, Olindo
10
Rackers, Neil
10
Brown, Josh
10


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