Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Fantasy Football Predictions NFL 2011 Season Week 2

I wrote a Fantasy Football statistical regression program. I feed it weekly stats and it spits out rankings. It will compute stats more accurately as teams settle in and start to show their true colors. Also, keep in mind that it does not know when players get injured in practice or in games, and/or when players commit stupid crimes and get arrested, so you might see players on a list for the next week who are actually out.

Let's see how well it does on its inaugural run...

Players in bold italics are possible sleepers.
"Predicted Points" = Predicted Fantasy Football points, NOT scoring points in a game

QB Rankings

Rank          Player                              Predicted Points
1.          Newton, Cam                                  51                                 
2.          Rivers, Philip                                   37
3.          Grossman, Rex                                37
4.          Stafford, Matthew                            33
5.          Cutler, Jay                                        28
6.          Rodgers, Aaron                                26
7.          Vick, Micahel                                   26
8.          Schaub, Matt                                   23
9.          Manning, Eli                                     21
10.        Sanchez, Mark                                 20

Running Back Rankings

Rank          Player                              Predicted Points
1.          McCoy, LeSean                                32                                 
2.          Rice, Ray                                         31
3.          Benson, Cedric                                28
4.          Forte, Matt                                      25
5.          Turner, Michael                               21
6.          Tolbert, Mike                                  20
7.          Bradshaw, Ahmad                         17
8.          Graham, Earnest                           16
9.          Tate, Ben                                        15
10.        Best, Jahvid                                   13

Wide Receiver Rankings

Rank          Player                                Predicted Points
1.          Smith, Steve                                   41
2.          Johnson, Andre                              27
3.          Britt, Kenny                                    26
4.          Gaffney, Jabar                               19
5.          Johnson, Calvin                              18
6.          Burress, Plaxico                              18
7.          Welker, Wes                                    17
8.          Austin, Miles                                   16
9.          Jennings, Greg                                15
10.        Armstrong, Anthony                     15

Tight End Rankings

Rank          Player                                Predicted Points
1.          Scheffler, Tony                                 17
2.          Davis, Fred                                       15
3.          Pettigrew, Brandon                           13
4.          Dreessen, Joel                                 13
5.          Finley, Jermichael                             12
6.          Olsen, Greg                                      10
7.          Fells, Daniel                                      10
8.          Daniels, Owen                                 10
9.          Davis, Vernon                                    9
10.        Graham, Jimmy                                  9

Kicker Rankings

Rank          Player                                Predicted Points
1.          Akers, David                                   23
2.          Nugent, Mike                                  18
3.          Cundiff, Billy                                   17
4.          Hanson, Jason                                 15
5.          Henery, Alex                                  15
6.          Lindell, Rian                                    11
7.          Rackers, Neil                                   11
8.          Kasay, John                                     11
9.          Gould, Robbie                                  11
10.        Scobee, Josh                                     9

My Fantasy Football Standings:
  • NFL.com League 1: 1st Place (1-0-0)
  • NFL.com League 2: 2nd Place (1-0-0)
  • Yahoo.com League: 6th Place (0-0-1)

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