Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Fantasy Football NFL 2011 Season Week 8 Results

Now I will begin comparing the actual results with my program's predicted results each week. The program seems to be getting more accurate and this week it served me well as I won in two of my leagues and only lost in one. The key here is that I was without Aaron Rodgers in my main Yahoo.com league and the program told me to choose, of all quarterbacks, Matt Hasselbeck to fill in. I reluctantly did, and what do you know, the guy scored me 16 Fantasy Football points which isn't much up against Aaron Rodgers but still pretty solid. The bottom line is the program is predicting well in some elements and not well in others. It does not have a way to know if the player is at home or away. And it also does not recognize if players are injured. There are always more things I could code in to improve it.

For Quarterback Rankings, the program nailed two of the quarterback's predicted point values on the head. It correctly predicted four others to be in the Top 10. One quarterback it did predict who mysteriously did not show up was Drew Brees. This is what I would determine to be somewhat of a freak occurance as I find it very unusual that Drew Brees would not be in the actual Top 10.

Here are the results for all positions:


QB Results

Player
Projected Points
Actual Player Rank
Actual Points
Percent Error
Brees, Drew
28
NA

MISSED
Stafford, Matthew
27
2
27
NAILED IT
Manning, Eli
27
4
25
8%
Newton, Cam
25
1
31
19.4%
Roethlisberger, Ben
22
5
24
8.3%
Hasselbeck, Matt
20
NA

MISSED
Flacco, Joe
19
NA

MISSED
Beck, John
19
NA

MISSED
Vick, Michael
17
3
26
34.6%
Brady, Tom
17
8
17
NAILED IT







RB Results


Player
Projected Points
Actual Player Rank
Actual Points
Percent Error
Peterson, Adrian
22
4
27
18.5%
Jackson, Fred
17
5
19
10.5%
Sproles, Darren
16
NA

MISSED
Mathews, Ryan
16
NA

MISSED
Foster, Arian
14
7
18
22.2%
Rice, Ray
14
3
27
48.1%
Tolbert, Michael
12
NA

MISSED
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus
12
NA

MISSED
Bradshaw, Ahmad
12
NA

MISSED
McCoy, LeSean
11
1
31
64.5%







WR Results


Player
Projected Points
Actual Player Rank
Actual Points
Percent Error
Johnson, Calvin
20
1
18
11.1%
Wallace, Mike
18
NA

MISSED
Smith, Steve
16
2
17
5.9%
Colston, Marques
14
NA

MISSED
Green, A.J.
12
NA
12
   MISSED*
Nicks, Hakeem
11
NA

MISSED
Jackson, Vincent
11
NA

MISSED
Marshall, Brandon
11
NA

MISSED
Boldin, Anquan
11
7
14
21.4%
Austin, Miles
11
NA

MISSED






*Missed A.J. Green being in Top 10, but correctly predicted his projected points!

TE Results


Player
Projected Points
Actual Player Rank
Actual Points
Percent Error
Davis, Fred
11
6
9
22.2%
Witten, Jason
11
NA

MISSED
Ballard, Jake
10
NA

MISSED
Daniels, Owen
10
NA

MISSED
Davis, Vernon
10
NA

MISSED
Gronkowski, Rob
9
4
9
NAILED IT
Hernandez, Aaron
9
NA

MISSED
Walker, Delanie
7
NA

MISSED
Olsen, Greg
7
3
13
46.2%
Gresham, Jermaine
7
NA

MISSED







K Results


Player
Projected Points
Actual Player Rank
Actual Points
Percent Error
Hanson, Jason
13
9
9
44.4%
Mare, Olindo
12
NA

MISSED
Cundiff, Billy
11
1
12
8.3%
Akers, David
10
NA

MISSED
Lindell, Rian
10
4
11
9.1%
Kasay, John
10
NA

MISSED
Nugent, Mike
10
7
10
NAILED IT
Henery, Alex
9
6
10
10%
Carpenter, Dan
9
NA

MISSED
Novak, Nick
9
2
12
25%





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